HURRICANE SUITER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL702009
0300 UTC MON JUN 01 2009
 
...TEST...TEST...TEST...THIS IS A DRILL...
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER AT THE
LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.  A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE
WARNING AREA.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS EXTENDED WESTWARD
ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST TO GRAND ISLE.  THE HURRICANE WATCH IS
DISCONTINUED ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF ARIPEKA TO
THE MOUTH OF THE AUCILLA RIVER.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO
GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS...FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE...
FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF FT. PIERCE...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  ADDITIONALLY...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST FROM ARIPEKA TO BONITA BEACH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA GULF COAST SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO
CHOKOLOSKEE...AND ALONG THE U. S. ATLANTIC COAST FROM ALTAMAHA
SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FT. PIERCE FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U. S. ATLANTIC COAST
NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE MOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SUITER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  84.4W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT.......140NE 105SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......240NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 175SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  84.4W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  83.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  85.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT...130NE 100SE  75SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 29.8N  86.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 100SE  75SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.7N  87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 125SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 31.3N  88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  85SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.0N  93.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N  96.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  84.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
HURRICANE SUITER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL702009               
0300 UTC MON JUN 01 2009

...TEST...TEST...TEST...THIS IS A DRILL...                                            
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SUITER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       X       1      32      57      67
TROP DEPRESSION  X       1       X       7      30      22      15
TROPICAL STORM   X      16       6      43      22       8       9
HURRICANE       99      83      94      50      17      13       9
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       10      19      24      27       5       2       1
HUR CAT 2       59      29      35      11       4       2       2
HUR CAT 3       29      30      29       8       4       5       3
HUR CAT 4        2       5       5       3       2       3       3
HUR CAT 5        1       1       1       1       1       1       1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   95KT   100KT   100KT    70KT    35KT    20KT    20KT
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  1   7( 8)  17(25)   5(30)   2(32)   1(33)   X(33)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  4   4( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 30   7(37)   3(40)   1(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ORLANDO FL     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MIAMI FL       34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MARATHON FL    34  3   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
FT MYERS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
VENICE FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
VENICE FL      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
TAMPA FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TAMPA FL       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL   50 68   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)
CEDAR KEY FL   64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 71  17(88)   3(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 15  28(43)   4(47)   2(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 79  12(91)   2(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
ST MARKS FL    50 28  24(52)   3(55)   2(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
ST MARKS FL    64  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 88  10(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
APALACHICOLA   50 63  26(89)   2(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
APALACHICOLA   64  7  30(37)   3(40)   1(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 91   6(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 43  28(71)   1(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 75  21(96)   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 31  51(82)   6(88)   X(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  2  38(40)   8(48)   1(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  8  28(36)  23(59)   5(64)   3(67)   X(67)   X(67)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
COLUMBUS GA    64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  5  32(37)  30(67)   8(75)   3(78)   1(79)   X(79)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  X   3( 3)  27(30)   7(37)   2(39)   X(39)   X(39)
MONTGOMERY AL  64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 20  47(67)  18(85)   3(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)
PENSACOLA FL   50  2  33(35)  26(61)   4(65)   2(67)   1(68)   X(68)
PENSACOLA FL   64  X  11(11)  23(34)   5(39)   2(41)   X(41)   1(42)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 55  28(83)   3(86)   1(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 11  38(49)   7(56)   1(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  1  16(17)   6(23)   1(24)   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)
 
MOBILE AL      34  6  30(36)  29(65)   6(71)   4(75)   X(75)   1(76)
MOBILE AL      50  X   8( 8)  26(34)   8(42)   4(46)   1(47)   X(47)
MOBILE AL      64  X   1( 1)  13(14)   7(21)   3(24)   X(24)   1(25)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  4  18(22)  27(49)   9(58)   4(62)   X(62)   1(63)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   3( 3)  14(17)   8(25)   5(30)   1(31)   1(32)
GULFPORT MS    64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
BURAS LA       34  4  11(15)  17(32)   8(40)   5(45)   1(46)   1(47)
BURAS LA       50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   5(17)   2(19)   1(20)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  5   9(14)  11(25)   5(30)   4(34)   1(35)   1(36)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   5( 5)  19(24)  13(37)   9(46)   1(47)   1(48)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   5(15)   X(15)   1(16)
JACKSON MS     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2   6( 8)  17(25)  10(35)   6(41)   1(42)   1(43)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  1   2( 3)   5( 8)   4(12)   5(17)   3(20)   1(21)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   4( 4)  11(15)   8(23)   8(31)   1(32)   2(34)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   6(14)   8(22)   3(25)   1(26)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)   5(14)   2(16)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   1(12)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   2(15)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN
