HURRICANE SUITER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL702009
0900 UTC TUE JUN 02 2009
 
...TEST...TEST...TEST...THIS IS A DRILL...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE
WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA EAST OF APALACHICOLA TO THE MOUTH OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA WEST OF THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  86.9W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  86.9W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  86.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 30.5N  87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT...105NE 115SE  75SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 120SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.8N  88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  75SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.9N  90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.9N  91.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.1N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 32.5N  97.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  86.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
HURRICANE SUITER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL702009               
0900 UTC TUE JUN 02 2009

...TEST...TEST...TEST...THIS IS A DRILL...                                                                                                                
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SUITER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       3      25      44      62      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  X       X      18      36      25      23      NA
TROPICAL STORM   X      26      56      21      16       8      NA
HURRICANE       99      74      24      18      15       7      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1      43       7       3       2       1      NA
HUR CAT 2       20      12       4       3       2       1      NA
HUR CAT 3       69      14       8       7       5       2      NA
HUR CAT 4       10       5       4       5       5       3      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       1       1       1      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND  105KT    75KT    50KT    30KT    25KT    20KT    NA  
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  5   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TAMPA FL       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ST MARKS FL    50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
APALACHICOLA   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
APALACHICOLA   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 64  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34 22   8(30)   2(32)   X(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)
COLUMBUS GA    50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34 69   6(75)   1(76)   X(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)
MONTGOMERY AL  50 13   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
MONTGOMERY AL  64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   64 85   5(90)   X(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  4   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MOBILE AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOBILE AL      50 81  10(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
MOBILE AL      64 29  32(61)   3(64)   X(64)   X(64)   1(65)   X(65)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 83   9(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)
GULFPORT MS    50 33  32(65)   3(68)   1(69)   X(69)   1(70)   X(70)
GULFPORT MS    64  5  21(26)   6(32)   1(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
BURAS LA       34 40  22(62)   4(66)   1(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)
BURAS LA       50  5  16(21)   5(26)   2(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)
BURAS LA       64  1   4( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34 13  12(25)   4(29)   2(31)   2(33)   1(34)   X(34)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
JACKSON MS     34 20  33(53)  10(63)   2(65)   1(66)   1(67)   X(67)
JACKSON MS     50  3  11(14)   7(21)   X(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
JACKSON MS     64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 27  32(59)   8(67)   1(68)   1(69)   1(70)   X(70)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  4  14(18)   9(27)   3(30)   2(32)   1(33)   X(33)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  5   8(13)   6(19)   5(24)   4(28)   1(29)   X(29)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  9  28(37)  14(51)   4(55)   3(58)   1(59)   X(59)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  1   7( 8)   6(14)   4(18)   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  5  15(20)  11(31)   5(36)   6(42)   2(44)   X(44)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   5(11)   5(16)   2(18)   X(18)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  1   4( 5)   4( 9)   5(14)   9(23)   2(25)   X(25)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   3(13)   X(13)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   5( 6)   6(12)   3(15)   5(20)   2(22)   X(22)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  1   4( 5)   5(10)   5(15)   9(24)   3(27)   X(27)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   8(18)   4(22)   X(22)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   5(19)   X(19)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)   4(18)   X(18)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   8(13)   5(18)   X(18)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   5(14)   X(14)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN
